The Holiday Effect in Stock Markets

Authors

  • Pang Wanxin Universiti Malaysia Sabah Labuan, International Campus, Malaysia Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61841/rd6p9j21

Keywords:

Stock Markets, Important in the Research, Remain Unclear

Abstract

This paper reviews the literature on the holiday effect, the "holiday effect" caused by the upsurge of consumer enthusiasm for the relevant industries to bring out a seasonal increase in earnings. In this context, the stock market also shows abnormal price fluctuations pre-holiday and post-holiday, namely the "holiday effect" of the stock market. After reviewing the literature on holiday effects all over the world, we then found that no matter if developing countries or developed countries, they almost all have an existing holiday effect. Two, some of the holidays are affected by culture, and some are non-culture. Last, most of the scholars examined some main index when doing research. Actually, the sector index is also very important in the research. 

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Abidin, S., Banchit, A., Sun, S., & Tian, Z. (2012). Chinese New Year Effects on Stock Returns : Evidence

from Asia-Pacific Stock Markets. (647), 1–23.

[2] Ariel, R. A. (1990). High Stock Returns before Holidays: Existence and Evidence on Possible Causes. The

Journal of Finance, 45(5), 1611–1626.

[3] Bae, K.-H., Yamada, T., & Ito, K. (2008). Interaction of investor trades and market volatility: Evidence

from the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 16(4), 370–388.

[4] Bergsma, K., & Jiang, D. (2016). Cultural New Year Holidays and Stock Returns around the World.

Financial Management, 45(1), 3–35. https://doi.org/10.1111/fima.12094

[5] Bollerslev, T. (2008). Glossary to ARCH. CREATES Research Paper.

[6] Brown, P., Chua, A., & Mitchell, J. (2002). The influence of cultural factors on price clustering: Evidence from Asia–Pacific stock markets. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 10(3), 307–332.

[7] Cadsby, C. B., & Ratner, M. (1992). Turn-of-month and pre-holiday effects on stock returns: Some

international evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance, 16(3), 497–509.

[8] Cao, X. L., Premachandra, I. M., Bhabra, G. S., & Tang, Y. P. (2009). Firm size and the pre-holiday effect

in New Zealand. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 32(1988), 1450–2887.

[9] Casalin, F. (2018). Determinants of holiday effects in mainland Chinese and Hong Kong markets. China

Economic Review, 49(November 2014), 45–67.

[10] Chancharat, S., Maporn, S., Phuensane, P., & Chancharat, N. (2018). Volatility of holiday effects in Thai

stock market. Kasetsart Journal of Social Sciences, 6–11.

[11] Chen, T.-C., & Chien, C.-C. (2011). Size effect in January and cultural influences in an emerging stock

market: The perspective of behavioral finance. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 19(2), 208–229.

[12] Chia, R. C. J., Lim, S. Y., Ong, P. K., & Teh, S. F. (2015). Pre- and Post-Chinese New Year Holiday Effects:

Evidence from the Hong Kong Stock Market. The Singapore Economic Review, 60(04), 1550023.

[13] Chong, R., Hudson, R., Keasey, K., & Littler, K. (2005). Pre-holiday effects: International evidence on the

decline and reversal of a stock market anomaly. Journal of International Money and Finance, 24(8), 1226–

1236.

[14] Coutts, J. A., & Sheikh, M. A. (2002). The anomalies that aren’t there: the weekend, January and preholiday effects on the all-gold index on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange 1987-1997. Applied Financial

Economics, 12(12), 863–871.

[15] Dodd, O., & Gakhovich, A. (2011). The holiday effect in Central and Eastern European financial markets.

Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 8(4), 29–35.

[16] Fabozzi, F. J., MA, C. K., & Briley, J. E. (1994). Holiday Trading in Futures Markets. The Journal of

Finance, 49(1), 307–324.

[17] Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of

Finance, 25(2), 383–417.

[18] Fields, M. J. (1934). Security Prices and Stock Exchange Holidays in Relation to Short Selling. 7(4), 328–

338.

[19] Gao, Q. (2009). Lunar Phases Effect in Chinese Stock Returns. 2009 International Conference on Business

Intelligence and Financial Engineering, 682–685. IEEE.

[20] Guo, S., & Wang, Z. (2007). A study of the seasonality effect on the Chinese stock exchange. 1–64.

[21] Holden, K., Thompson, J., & Ruangrit, Y. (2005). The Asian crisis and calendar effects on stock returns in

Thailand. European Journal of Operational Research, 163(1), 242–252.

[22] Karim, A., Karim, Z. A., & Nee, T. A. (2012). Holiday Effects in Malaysia: An Empirical Note. 1(1), 23–26.

[23] Kim, C., & Park, J. (1994). Holiday Effects and Stock Returns: Further Evidence. The Journal of Financial

and Quantitative Analysis, 29(1), 145.

[24] Lakonishok, J., & Smidt, S. (1989). Are seasonal anomalies real? A ninety-year perspective.

[25] Liano, K., Marchand, P. H., & Huang, G.-C. (1992). the Holiday Effect in Stock Returns: Evidence From

the OTC Market. Review of Financial Economics, 2(1), 45–54. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1873-

5924.1992.tb00555.x

[26] Los, C. A., & Yu, B. (2008). Persistence characteristics of the Chinese stock markets. International Review

of Financial Analysis, 17(1), 64–82.

[27] Marrett, G. J., & Worthington, A. C. (2009). An empirical note on the holiday effect in the Australian stock

market, 1996–2006. Applied Economics Letters, 16(17), 1769–1772.

[28] McGuinness, P. B., & Harris, R. D. F. (2011). Comparison of the ‘turn-of-the-month’ and lunar new year

return effects in three Chinese markets: Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Shenzhen. Applied Financial Economics,

21(13), 917–929.

[29] Meneu, V., & Pardo, A. (2004). Pre-holiday effect, large trades, and small investor behavior. Journal of

Empirical Finance, 11(2), 231–246.

[30] Mitchell, J. D., & Ong, L. L. (2006). Seasonalities in China’s Stock Markets: Cultural or Structural? IMF

Working Papers, 06(4), 1.

[31] Morck, Randall; Yeung, B. (2001). Japanese Economic Success and the Curious Characteristics of Japanese

Stock Prices. Center for Economic Institutions, 28.

[32] Norvaisiene, R., Stankeviciene, J., & Lakstutiene, A. (2015). Seasonality in the Baltic Stock Markets.

Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 213, 468–473.

[33] Padmakanthi, N. P. D. (2006). The Stock Exchange of Singapore: An Economic Analysis.

[34] Pettengill, G. N. (1989). Holiday Closings and Security Returns. XII(1).

[35] Pik Har, W., & Wei Chih, L. (2016). Effects of Holidays on the Malaysian Stock Exchange. International

Journal of Business and Management, 11(2), 274.

[36] Seyyed, F. J., Abraham, A., & Al-Hajji, M. (2005). Seasonality in stock returns and volatility: The Ramadan

effect. Research in International Business and Finance, 19(3), 374–383.

[37] Tangjitprom, N. (2011). Preholiday returns and volatility in the Thai stock market. Asian Journal of Finance

& Accounting, 2(2), 41–54.

[38] Thaler, R. (1987). Anomalies: Seasonal Movements in Security Prices II: Weekend, Holiday, Turn of the

Month and Intraday Effects. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1(2), 169–177.

[39] Tong, W. H. S. (1992). An analysis of the January effect of the United States, Taiwan and South Korean stock

returns. Asia Pacific Journal of Management, 9(2), 189–207.

[40] Tsiakas, I. (2010). The economic gains of trading stocks around holidays. Journal of Financial Research,

33(1), 1–26.

[41] Turk, R., Mehdian, S. M., & Rezvanian, R. (2008). Anomalous Behavior in Security Markets: Evidence

from the equity markets of the People’s Republic of China.

[42] Vergin, R. C., & Mcginnis, J. (1999). Revisiting the Holiday Effect: Is it on holiday? Applied Financial

Economics, 9(5), 477–482.

[43] Wasiuzzaman, S., & Al-Musehel, N. A. (2018). Mood, religious experience, and the Ramadan effect.

International Journal of Emerging Markets, 13(1), 290–307.

[44] Wong, W.-K., Agarwal, A., & Wong, N.-T. (2006). The Disappearing Calendar Anomalies in Singapore

Stock Market. The Lahore Journal of Economics, 11(2), 123–139.

[45] Yakob, N. A., Beal, D., & Delpachitra, S. (2005). Seasonality in the Asia Pacific stock markets. Journal of

Asset Management, 6(4), 298–318.

[46] Yang, A. S. (2016). Calendar trading of Taiwan stock market: A study of holidays on trading detachment

and interruptions. Emerging Markets Review, 28, 140–154.

[47] Yen, G., Lee, C. F., Chen, C.-L., & Lin, W.-C. (2001). On the Chinese Lunar New Year Effect in Six Asian

Stock Markets: An Empirical Analysis (1991–2000). Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and

Policies, 04(04), 463–478.

[48] Yuan, K., Zheng, L., & Zhu, Q. (2006). Are investors moonstruck? Lunar phases and stock returns. Journal

of Empirical Finance, 13(1), 1–23.

[49] Yuan, T., Gupta, R., & Bianchi, R. J. (2015). The Pre-Holiday Effect in China: Abnormal Returns or

Compensation for Risk? Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies, 18(3).

Downloads

Published

31.05.2020

How to Cite

Wanxin, P. (2020). The Holiday Effect in Stock Markets. International Journal of Psychosocial Rehabilitation, 24(3), 717-728. https://doi.org/10.61841/rd6p9j21