Measurement of Successful Leadership via a Nine Factor Model on Bank Profit – A Case of Vingroup in Real Estate Industry in Vietnam

Authors

  • Dinh Tran Ngoc Huy MBA, Banking University of Ho Chi Minh City Vietnam. GSIM, International University of Japan, Niigata, Japan Author
  • Nguyen Dac Anh Chuong MBA, Van Lang University Ho Chi Minh City Vietnam Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61841/gscgzj08

Keywords:

VIC Net Profit, Stock Price, GDP Growth, Inflationary, Risk Free Rate, Market Interest Rate

Abstract

Vingroup (VIC) has been gaining achievements with VinFast (cars), VinSmart, and Vinpearl, and Vinhomes has made very positive contributions to the overall achievements of the real estate sector and industries, deserving of its position as one of the leading groups contributing to the economy. Movement of net profit under the impacts of cost, stock price, and many other factors will reflect the business health of Vingroup and the real estate industry. Good business management requires us to consider the impacts of multiple macro and micro factors on VIC net profit, and it contributes to promoting business plans and economic policies for economic growth and stabilizing macroeconomic factors. By data collection method through statistics, analysis, synthesis, comparison, and quantitative analysis to generate qualitative comments and discussion, using econometric methods to perform regression equations and evaluate quantitative results, the article analyzed and evaluated the impacts of NINE (9) macroeconomic factors such as stock price, VNIndex, risk-free rate, lending rate, inflation, GDP growth, S&P500, exchange rate, etc. on the net profit of a leading real estate firm, Vingroup (VIC), in Vietnam in the period of 2010-2019, both positive and negative sides. The results of quantitative research, in an eight-factor model, show that the increase in inflation and lending rate and the reduction in risk-free rate have a significant effect on reducing VIC net profit with the highest impact coefficient; the second is decreasing cost. Last but not least, we recognize that VIC net profit responds much more to the yield of government bonds compared to Vinamilk (a leading firm in the F&B industry). This research finding and recommended policy also can be used as a reference in policy for real estate systems in many developing countries. 

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Ahmad, N., & Ramzan, M. (2016). Stock Market Volatility and Macroeconomic Factor Volatility,

International Journal of Research in Business Studies and Management, 3(7), 37-44.

[2] Arshad, Z., Ali, R. A., Yousaf, S., & Jamil, S. (2015). Determinants of Share Prices of listed Commercial

Banks in Pakistan, IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance, 6(2), 56-64.

[3] Ayub, A., & Masih, M. (2013). Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, and Stock Prices of Islamic Banks: A Panel

Data Analysis, MPRA Paper No. 58871.

[4] Cherif, R., & Hasanov, F. (2012). Public Debt Dynamics: The Effects of Austerity, Inflation, and Growth

Shocks, IMF Working Paper WP/12/230.

[5] Krishna, R.C. (2015). Macroeconomic Variables impact on Stock Prices in a BRIC Stock Markets: An

Empirical Analysis, Journal of Stock & Forex Trading, 4(2).

[6] Kulathunga, K. (2015). Macroeconomic Factors and Stock Market Development: With Special Reference

to Colombo Stock Exchange, International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, 5(8), 1-7.

[7] Ihsan, H., Ahmad, E., Muhamad, I.H., & Sadia, H. (2015). International Journal of Scientific and Research

Publications, 5(8)

[8] Jarrah, M., & Salim, N. (2016). The Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Saudi Stock Market (Tadawul)

Prices, Int'l Conf. on Advances in Big Data Analytics.

[9] Luthra, M., & Mahajan, S. (2014). Impact of Macro factors on BSE Bankex, International Journal of

Current Research and Academic Review, 2(2), 179-186.

[10] Ndlovu, M., Faisal, F., Nil, G.R., & Tursoy, T. (2018). The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock

Returns: A Case of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, Romanian Statistical Review, 2, 88-104.

[11] Pan, Q., & Pan, M. (2014). The Impact of Macro Factors on the Profitability of China’s Commercial Banks

in the Decade after WTO Accession, Open Journal of Social Sciences, 2, 64-69.

[12] Quy, V.T., & Loi, D.T.N. (2016). Macroeconomic factors and Stock Price—A Case Of Real Estate Stocks

on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange, Journal of Science Ho Chi Minh City Open University, 2(18), 63-75.

[13] Saeed, S., & Akhter, N. (2012). Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Banking Index in Pakistan,

Interdisciplinary Journal of Contemporary Research in Business, 4(6), 1200-1218.

[14] https://www.sbv.gov.vn

[15] https://nif.mof.gov.vn

Downloads

Published

31.07.2020

How to Cite

Tran Ngoc Huy, D., & Dac Anh Chuong, N. (2020). Measurement of Successful Leadership via a Nine Factor Model on Bank Profit – A Case of Vingroup in Real Estate Industry in Vietnam. International Journal of Psychosocial Rehabilitation, 24(5), 3280-3297. https://doi.org/10.61841/gscgzj08